With factories across China and other affected regions operating below 100% capacity, forecast shortfalls in materials and parts (particularly packaging, textiles and electronic components) could extend for several months.
With the World Health Organisation declaring a pandemic, there is a very real risk of key personnel becoming subject to quarantine due to infection, carers leave or self-quarantine.
Operational capacity could be limited as a result of mass absenteeism from unplanned leave due to localised quarantine activities.
The combination of ‘panic buying’ and ‘rationed spending’ could cause havoc to supply chain forecasts, leading to stock shortages and/or stockpiling. It could result in needing higher production levels, overtime and margin impacts, or working capital constraints.
Inability to meet customers and key partners in person or attend events as travel is restricted and gatherings limited.
This means:
Work through each element of your business value chain (supply, people, process, system) to understand where risks might occur. Assess likelihood and potential impact for each, to focus planning on key risk areas. Examples of risk assessment activities:
“What happens if…” is a key question management teams must ask to identify escalating, but plausible scenarios. This will ensure business continuity plans are prepared, communicated and embedded into the organisation. Scenarios we have seen include:
Minimise risk by undertaking appropriate actions quickly, such as:
This is key to ensuring business continuity:
Download detailed article
We actively reduce the climate impact from our operations and invest in community-based climate solutions to balance remaining carbon emissions |